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The article examines the results of use of the physical-statistical method for the forecast of seasonal trend of the sea surface temperature (SST) with the lead time of 8 months and results of statistical method of SST superlong-term forecast, lead time — 1 year. In the first case mean-squared prediction error of SST according to ...

... non-existent political dialogue between Russia and Estonia will hardly develop in the next five years and why Estonia can lose its significance for the Russian foreign policy rhetoric and Russian mass media. This conclusion is drawn from a medium-term forecast about the changing role of Estonia in Russian foreign policy. The forecast is based on the scenario methodology, which suggests that the modern means of political forecasting make it possible to make conclusions not about the future states of ...

The article examines the theoretical and methodological problems of forecasting regional development. The author presents a concept of improving regional forecast preparation. The implementation of the concept will facilitate the increase in quality of forecast studies. 1.  Методические рекомендации ...

... long pay­back period, and poor provision of balanced feed. The production of commer­cial crops is more profitable compared with the production of milk. The aim of this research is to substantiate conceptual and methodological approaches and tools for forecasting the development of dairy cattle breeding in Russia during the implementation of the policy of import substitution. The methodical basis of research is a set of methods of economic and mathematical modeling, in­cluding scenarios and their ...

This article suggests forecasting socioeconomic and marketing processes in the Russian market conditions of a transitional period with the help of cluster modelling, which would significantly increase the objectivity of assessing the identified processes and the impact of ...

The theoretical and methodological approaches to forecasting political processes are considered. The relevance of forecasting knowledge for contemporary political management and designing is grounded. The methods and implements for forecasting are evaluated not only within the context of the forecast ...

... article analyses long-term meteorological and climatic data for Bela¬ru¬sian Polesia, namely, the Gantsevichi district of the Brest region. The authors have established significant thermal regime changes towards warming, which makes it possible to forecast the long-term possibility of cultivating more heat-loving varieties of the Highbush Blueberry (Vaccinium corymbosum) in Belarussian Polesia. 1. Вавилов Н. И. Избранные труды. Т. 5. : Проблемы происхождения,...

... Vilnius , 1980. P . 212-232. 18. Ivanauskas T. Birds of Lithuania . Anatidae. Vilnius , 1959. Vol. 2. P. 33-60 (in Lithuanian). 19. Švažas S., Gražulevičius G. Geese migration in Lithuania . In: M. Žalakevičius (ed.). Study, modelling and forecasting of bird migration. Vilnius , 1987. P. 63-75 (in Russian). 20. Vaitkevicius A. Visible migration of waterfowl and other waterbirds in Lithuania . Reports of East Baltic Commission on the study of bird migration. Tartu , 1968. Vol. 5. P....

... state. The article analyses the role Russia plays in the energy policy of the region from both geopolitical and geostrategic viewpoints. The author identifies the main characteristics of the Russian energy policy in these countries, and provides with a forecast for energy policy development in the region. A geostrategic approach dictates any successful energy policy in the Baltic Sea region to bring in line Russian interests with those of the European states. 1. Beck, U. 2012, Zhivya v mirovom obshchestve ...

... p. 115—119. 3. Belousov, A. R. 2006, Scenarii social'no-jekonomicheskogo razvitija Rossii na pjatnadcatiletnjuju perspektivu [Scenarios of socio-economic development of Russia for fifteen years perspective], Problemy prognozirovanija [Problems of forecasting], no. 1, p. 3—52. 4. Voitolovsky, G. K. 2005, Dinamika razvitija [The dynamics of the development], Moscow, SOPS. 5. Vargina, T. V., Myakinenkov, V. M. 2008, Gradostroitel'nyj kodeks RF [Town Planning Code], Upravlenie razvitiem territorij ...

... Speech tactics of the “call for frankness”. Voprosy Jazykoznanija [Topics in the study of language], 6, pp. 82—93 (in Russ.). Zolyan, S. T., 2018. The language of politics or language in the political function? Polity: analysis. Chronicle. Forecast , 3, pp. 31—49, http://doi.org/10.30570/2078-5089- 2018-90-3-31-49 (in Russ.). political discourse, communicative strategies and tactics, subjects of commu­nication, communicative move, speech act theory. Kostenkov I.A. 189-207 10.5922/2225-5346-2025-2-11

This work is the result of methodological reflection related to the comprehension of more than two hundred years of experience accumulated since the secularization of linguistics, and the formation of a reasonable forecast regarding the near and medium-term development of linguistic science. The development of linguistics is determined by the dynamics of para­digms. In understanding the latter term, the author follows the tradition laid down by Kuhn, taking into ...

... oboz­renie [New Literary Review], 4, pp. 16—31 (in Russ.). Badiou, A., 2007. Being and Event. New York, 526 p. Bainhauer, H. and Schmakhe, E., 1973. Mir v 2000 godu. Svod mezhdunarodnykh prognozov [The world in 2000. Compendium of international forecasts]. Moscow, 240 p. (in Russ.). Bakhtin, M. M., 1986. To the philosophy of action. In: Filosofiya i sotsiologiya nauki i tekhniki: ezhegodnik . 1984—1985 [Philosophy and Sociology of Science and Techno­lo­gy: Yearbook. 1984—1985]. Moscow,...

Analysis of climate continentality is a powerful tool for studying and forecasting weath­er. Considering the continentality index enables determining current climate characteristics and predicting potential changes. This study aims to assess climate change in Russia’s North-East by analysing the continentality index as ...

... approach and employed the method of statistical data analysis from open sources. A comparative method was used to identify common trends in the examined sectors of the entertainment industry in the context of the U.S. intangible influence and to provide a forecast regarding the extent of this influence in the medium term. The use of intangible tools of influence in the studied area represents an attempt by the U.S. to maintain and strengthen its position as a regional leader in the era of global great ...

... through which the opinion of the Russian right on the Young Turk Revolution was formed are identified: the ideological positions of conservatives rejecting revolutionary social changes; Turkey’s place in the system of international relations and the forecasting of geopolitical changes in light of the Young Turks’ rise to power; and the perception of revolutionary events in Turkey as a negative example of potential further developments in Russia’s domestic political situation. The range of issues ...

... werewolves, the living dead could be presented either as a result of experimentation or as an object of scientific exploration. In Russian literature, V. F. Odoevsky made a move from Gothic poetics towards long-term social, scientific and technological forecasting in a fiction text. The role of Gothic in the genesis of science fiction is clearly visible in the artistic world of H. P. Lovecraft who elaborated supernatural horror in the form of nonhuman manifestations of the indifferent Universe. The ...

The cases of two Kaliningrad universities are used in a forecast study of the interpersonal aspect of culture of students’ and teachers’ trust within higher professional education. The author gives a definition of the culture of trust between the agents of educational process and outlines the structure ...

... growth in athletics development records. An analysis of the records dynamics makes it possible not only to register the key moments in the history of a chosen sport against the background of changing methodological attitudes, but also to make a correct forecast of the development of corresponding training methodologies aimed at improving sports performance on the basis of a strictly quantitative analysis. 1. Шаги рекордов // Легкая атлетика. 1965. № 11. С. 26—28. 2. ...

... Как сохранить психологическое здоровье подростков: посо­бие для школы. М.: Сентябрь, 2003. Lyoushkina N. academic and social success, self-actualisation, personal characteristics, forecast. 120-126

... the country. The last attempted coup in 2016 undermined the already weakened position of the military, but there is no firm certainty that the army will not attempt to reclaim its role as a hidden guardian. The goal of the undertaken research was to forecast the conditions under which the military might attempt a coup. Scenario analysis was used for the prediction. As a result, three scenarios for the development of the Republic of Turkey were obtained: the estab­lishment of a rigid clerical authoritarianism,...

... in the types of strategies for mediating cultural and linguistic environment. The identification of similarities / distinctions in the ways of self-actualization of the personality, most widespread in intercultural interaction, allows the au­thor to forecast the pragmatics of the impact of various linguistic and cultural stimuli on the character of civilisational processes in multinational regions. 1. Добреньков В. И., Кравченко В. И. Методы социологического ...

The article is devoted to forecasting the development of small and medium- size businesses (SMEs) in Russia. The authors offer an algorithm of the identification of development tendencies for small and medium-sized businesses using linear equations. The medium-term econometric ...

... ensuring regional food security. The comprehensive model includes the regulatory and statistical patterns of consumption and a model of demand for resources among agricultural manufacturers. The article presents the results of statistical modelling and a forecast of regional consumer demand based on a survey of Kaliningraders held in October 2014 using the STATISTICA™ package. 1. Лукьянова Н. Ю., Соколова А. А. Моделирование портрета потребителя ...