The formation of a risk management system for projects in the field of aquaculture innovative development in the Kaliningrad region: a case study
This article sets out to develop the concept and the principal scheme of the formation of a risk management system for innovative economic development projects in the field of aquaculture. The research carried out by the authors helps identify the main problems and characteristics of risk management projects for the development of aquaculture ...
COVID-19 pandemic in Germany: information campaign, media, society
... recruited. In addition, there is a need to combat misinformation and dispel unproven facts. The data obtained can be of value in conducting information campaigns during future global crises.
1. Petzold, M. B., Bendau, A., Plag, J. et al. 2020, Risk, resilience, psychological distress, and anxiety at the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic in Germany, Brain and Behavior, vol. 10, № 9,
https://doi.org/10.1002/brb3.1745
.
2. Sjölander-Lindqvist, A., Larsson, S., Fava, N. et al. 2020, Communicating ...
Industrial enterprises of the Kaliningrad region: R&D models under the conditions of perceived risks
Тhe paper is devoted to the modeling of R&D behavior patterns of industrial enterprises in the conditions of perceived risks. Unambiguously negative influence is caused by institutional risks only, while the influence of other risk factors is more complex in character.
1. Cohen M., Jaffray J.-Y., Said T. Experimental Comparison of Individual Behavior under Risk and ...
The adaptation of Russian regions’ economies to the rupture of relations with Europe: the case of Baltic Sea ports
... Western sanctions on Russia’s spatial development, the response of Russian maritime transport to these sanctions, and the adaptation measures taken. It also evaluates the performance of Russian Baltic ports between 2022 and 2023, assessing the long-term risks and threats to their development and exploring the potential for maritime transport growth in the Baltic region under the current circumstances.
Cooperation with Europe as the main priority of Russia’s post-Soviet foreign economic policy
...
Global value chains in the age of uncertainty: advantages, vulnerabilities, and ways for enhancing resilience
... and a typical multi-structural model of GVCs, highlighting the network complexity of the system of distributed production and trade in value added. Not only does this system bring competitive advantages to GVC partner countries, but also it entails risks of cascading production disruptions. We examine these risks by analysing the ripple effect of supply disruptions in GVCs when a sudden local shock can propagate globally through inter-firm supplier links, generating growing output losses across ...
Communication of Covid-19 consequences in the Baltic States inforsphere
... communicate the threat and its consequences in the media.
1. Carpignano, A., Golia, E., Di Mauro, C., Bouchon, S., Nordvik, J -P. 2009, A methodological approach for the definition of multi-risk maps at regional level: first application, Journal of Risk Research, vol. 12, no. 3—4, p. 513—534. doi:
https://doi.org/10.1080/13669870903050269
.
2. Linkov, I. et al. 2018, Tiered approach to resilience assessment, Risk Analysis, vol. 38, no. 9, p. 1772—1780. doi:
https://doi.org/10.1111/risa.12991
...
Sanctions risks and regional development: Russian case
Economic sanctions and countersanctions are expanding worldwide, posing spatially heterogeneous threats to most countries. The study aims to develop and test a methodology for assessing regional exposure to sanctions risks using Russian data. The share of foreign trade with the countries that introduced restrictions can be used to evaluate the exposure to new trade barriers. In several cases, this share exceeded 50 %, necessitating a rapid reorientation of product ...
Monotowns: A New Take on the Old Problem
The authors of this paper propose an approach to studying risk management in the most vulnerable monotowns that would account for the relations between major stakeholders and use the tools developed in the framework of the new institutional economic theory. Having compared the existing definitions of the “monotown” ...
Artificial Intelligence: a catalyst for entrepreneurship education in the Baltics
... innovatively. The concept of “entrepreneurial intentions” is related to the more general theory of entrepreneurship, which explores the process of creating and developing new enterprises. It includes aspects such as the search for opportunities, risk assessment, financial planning, resource management, etc. The ‘entrepreneurial university’ model focuses on student entrepreneurship but also covers such aspects as entrepreneurial education, support and financing of students’ entrepreneurial ...
Societal security in the Baltic Sea Region: the Russian perspective
... paid considerable attention to the internal aspects of Russia’s security. In particular, security threats such as terrorism, radical nationalism and religious fanaticism, separatism, organized crime and corruption were identified.
To mitigate the risks listed above, Russia should seek economic growth, development of the country’s R&D capacity, “the preservation and augmentation of traditional Russian spiritual and moral values as the foundation of Russian society, and its education of children ...
Geoeconomic risks faced by the Russian Baltic region amid a deteriorating geopolitical situation
This article is a conceptual theoretical-empirical study of the geopolitical risks the Baltic Russian regions have faced amid the deteriorating geopolitical situation observed since 2014. The Baltic Russian regions are in a vulnerable position because of their geographical vicinity to EU countries, with which they share common ...
Social and cultural determinants in the perception of environmental risks: Douglas grid group analysis
This research aims to determine the characteristics of the perception of environmental risks using the case of a salt deposit in the Kaliningrad region as an example. To achieve this aim, the author analyzed the social and cultural determinants of the population. The grid-group analysis was used as a supporting technique for the identification ...
Fetal behavior and the prediction of neuropsychiatric development
... of movements during early infancy //Continuity of Neural Functions from Prenatal to Postnatal Life / ed. H. F. R. Prechtl. MacKeith Press, 1984. P. 17—97.
13. Hadders-Algra M. General movements: a window for early identification of children at high risk for developmental disorders // J. Pediatr. 2004. Vol. 145. P. 12—18.
14. Einspieler C., Marschik P. B., Prechtl H. F. R. Human Motor Behavior Prenatal Origin and Early Postnatal Development // Journal of Psychology. 2008. Vol. 216(3). P. 148—154....
Immune reconstitution inflammatory syndrome (IRIS) in HIV-infected patients: risk factors, clinical features, outcomes, prevention
... unfavourable outcomes of severe immune reconstitution inflammatory syndrome can be achieved through an adequate monitoring of HIV-infected patients consisting in early detection, treatment and prevention of coinfections and swift elimination of other risk factors.
1. David M., Willem D. F., Annelies V., Charles F. Immune reconstitution inflammatory syndrome (IRIS): review of common infectious manifestations and treatment options // AIDS Research and Therapy. 2007. P. 4—9. URL: www. aidsrestherapy....
Formation of Executive Officers' Risk Management Culture
The article considers didactic units and risk management tasks in executive officer risk management culture formation.
1.
Анцупов А.
Я., Шипилов А.
И.
Конфликтология: учебник для вузов. М.: ЮНИТИ, 2004. 591 с.
2.
Педагогика ...
Federal Repatriation Programme in the Kaliningrad region: an Assessment of Risks and Opportunities
This article presents the results of comprehensive research the migration situation in the region and the practices of migration management in the framework of risk theory within modern society studies. The key target group of the study are the migrants who have arrived to the region within the Federal Repatriation Programme. The work is based on numerous expert interviews of migration officials.The article ...
The Accession of Finland and Sweden to NATO: Geopolitical implications for Russia’s position in the Baltic Sea region
... acquisition of new territorial and infrastructural capabilities by NATO to deploy reinforcements and military equipment from member countries to the region, the potential stationing of nuclear weapons on the territories of new member countries, the risk of blockading the Kaliningrad region, as well as the Gulf of Finland, and the Danish straits for Russian vessels. It is stressed that in the current circumstances, Russia needs to consider multiple scenarios in the Baltic region. On the one hand,...
The spread of the COVID-19 infection in Russia’s Baltic macro-region: internal differences
... Karelia and the Murmansk region (the key factors are rotational employment and the introduction of the virus from without); 3) the Novgorod and Pskov regions (lowly permeable spaces of places; the central role of local foci of the disease). The principal risk factor for the space of flows is the rapid spread of Covid-19 along transport arteries, whilst, within the space of places, the coronavirus spreads through spatial diffusion from isolated foci along short radii. In the former case, local authorities ...
Portfolio optimization in the case of an exponential utility function and in the presence of an illiquid asset
... Stochastics. 2004. Vol. 8 (4). P. 579—603.
8. Duffie D., Fleming W., Soner H. M., Zariphopoulou T. Hedging in incomplete markets with HARA utility // Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control. 1997. Vol. 21. P. 753—782.
9. Diaz A., Esparcia C. Assessing risk aversion from the investor's point of view // Frontiers in Psychology. 2019. 02 July. doi: 10.3389/fpsyg.2019.01490.
10. Karoui N. El, Blanchet-Scalliet C., Jeanblanc M., Martinelli L. Optimal investment decisions when time-horizon is uncertain // ...
Effective risk communication as a factor in managing protests attitudes in a local community
Contemporary research into the perception of environmental risks suffers from poor knowledge of risk communication in the local community and of how different ways of risk communication affect protest attitudes. This study aims to clarify communication strategies and practices used by members of local communities ...
Disturbance of the vaginal microbiome and the risk of HIV infection in women: analysis of scientific studies
... to HIV infection is the composition of the vaginal microbiome, which can influence the local immune cell population and inflammation status. While a low diversity microbial composition dominated by Lactobacillus crispatus is associated with a reduced risk of HIV infection, a high microbial diversity environment associated with bacterial vaginosis increases the risk of HIV infection. Given the important role of the vaginal microbiome in determining HIV susceptibility, changing the microbiome towards ...
Evaluation of the possibility of ultrasound examination of the first metatarsophalangeal joints in the diagnosis of gouty arthritis
... А. Подагра — королева болезней и болезнь королей (10 заповедей подагры) // Медицинский совет. 2012. № 3. С. 60—66.
6. Andracco R., Zampogna G., Parodi M., Cimmino M. A. Risk factors for gouty dactylitis // Clinical and Experimental Rheumatology. 2009. Vol. 27. P. 993—995.
7. Bhole V., de Vera M., Rahman M. M. et al. Epidemiology of gout in women: fifty-two-year followup of a prospective cohort // Arthritis & Rheumatology....
Work-life balance during the Covid-19 outbreak: the case of Latvia
... обращения: 08.09.2020).
3. Mogi R., Spijker J. The influence of social and economic ties to the spread of COVID-19 in Europe // SocArXiv. 2020.
https://doi.org/10.31235/osf.io/sb8xn
.
4. Raifman M. A., Raifman J. R. Disparities in the population at risk of severe illness from COVID-19 by race/ethnicity and income // American Journal of Preventive Medicine. 2020. Vol. 59, № 1. P. 137—139.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.amepre.2020.04.003
.
5. Verhagen M. D., Brazel D. M., Dowd J. B. et al. Mapping ...
Environmental awareness of urban and rural residents
... to blame business for environmental problems, while Kaliningraders tend to blame the state. The author identified common features of environmental consciousness of the urban and rural residents: distrust of the information on environmental risks coming from business and the unwillingness to sacrifice safe and clean environment for improved living standards. The author offers recommendations to the Kaliningrad region authorities and to large businesses on the prevention of social ...
Young ‘s body mass index and its im¬pact on the frequency and variability of the heart rhythm at quiet and after phy¬sical load
... of age, gender, body mass index, and functional capacity on heart rate variability in a cohort of subjects without heart disease// Am. J. Cardiol. 2004. Vol. 93 (3). P. 381—385.
9. Aune D., Sen A., o'Hartaigh B. et al. Resting heart rate and the risk of cardiovascular disease, total cancer, and all-cause mortality: A systematic review and dose-response meta-analysis of prospective studies //
Nutr. Metab. Cardiovasc. Dis.
2017. Vol. 27 (6). P. 504—517.
10. Barathi S. Subramaniam. ...
Determination of hyperglycemia in patients with acute coronary syndrome
... pressure of 140—160 mm Hg; and a body mass index of 30 kg / m2, total blood serum cholesterol 6.0—6.5 mmol / l and an ejection fraction of 30—40 %. The article concluded that developing hyperglycemia in patients with ACS is associated with both risk factors of ACS, and with the manifestation and prognosis of this pathology.
1. Бондарь И. А., Климонтов В. В. Антиоксиданты в лечении и профилактике сахарного диабета // Сахарный ...
Heart and blood vessels remodeling and the estimation of residual risk in patients with myocardial infarction
The author uses the notion of residual risk for the assessment of myocardial infarction (MI). In the acute phase of myocardial infarction, the majority of patients have remodelling of the myocardium with a predominant combination of cavity dilatation and hypertrophic left ventricle. One third ...
A reliable analysis of the results of economic risk hedging
An entrepreneur is regularly faced with the problem of reducing potential economic risks; however, the assessment of risk hedging effect is often complicated. This article presents a typology of economic risks and a methodology for commodity risk hedging. The author proposes a model of open position hedging and introduces the problem ...
The goecological seismic risk associated with the construction of an underground gas storage in the Kaliningrad region
This article justifies the methodology for assessing the geoecological seismic risk associated with the construction of the Kaliningrad Underground Gas Storage (KUGS). A modified Leopold matrix helped obtain semi-quantitative seismic safety estimate for the object under consideration. The risk assessment is taken into account when ...
Principles of executive risk culture development
The article focuses on the principles of executive risk culture formation. The author defines the pedagogical requirements to the selection of the content and methods of executive risk culture formation.
1.
Андреев В.
И.
Педагогика: учеб. курс для творческого ...
Russia’s political risk for the foreign investors: A special emphasis on Kaliningrad
The main goal of this article is to analyse the political risk of Russia with a special emphasis on Kaliningrad. In this study, political risks are assessed using the normative model of macro political risk assessment developed by Alon and Martin in 1998. In this model, political risks are divided into government-,...
Reputation and status in Denmark’s strategic culture
... political will (domestic political consensus), and the capabilities of the Danish armed forces. Central to Danish ‘activism’ is that it promotes the country’s interests and values only in situations where national security and survival are not at risk
Aspect
of analysis
Hans Mouritzen [16]
Mikkel Vedby
Rasmussen [17]
Peter Viggo
Jakobsen [18]
Atlanticism/ Europeanism ratio
After the Cold War, Denmark shifted from a restrained form of Atlanticism to its standard version, and, from 2001 onwards,...
Cultural types and the perception of current environmental risks by local communities of the Baltic Sea region
This work presents findings from research into the relationship between the structural organisation and cultural attitudes of local communities in the Baltic Sea region and the way they perceive environmental risks. The response of the Kaliningrad community to the development of a local potassium and magnesium salt mine is used as an illustration. The article deals with how local communities perceive the image of risks formed and reproduced via various communication ...
Multidimensional poverty in the Baltic States in the EU context: theoretical and practical aspects
... are widely used in studying income dynamics and differentiation at a national level. Yet a new research approach to the study and assessment of ‘multidimensional’ poverty is gaining popularity in developed states. Central to it is the notion of ‘risk of poverty and/or social exclusion’ (AROPE). This approach measures both income level and such non-monetary component as access to social services. Despite the versatility and severity of multidimensional poverty in some European countries, this ...
Entrepreneurial capital of the region: the concept, manifestations and spatial localisation
An important element of the explanation why an entrepreneur carries out high-risk transactions is the evaluation and analysis of her or his inner qualities. Thus, there is a need to identify the connection between entrepreneurial risk and capital. At the regional level, there is an ongoing academic discussion as to who the carrier of entrepreneurial capital is and how this capital can be measured and evaluated in view of its direct influence on the business environment and economic ...
Assessment of the CNS function in fetuses with different pathology
... ± 0,88), which indicates the normal development of the central nervous system. In fetuses with CNS pathology, the average value of the total assessment of general movements is at the lower limit of the norm (6.3 ± 1.5), which is regarded as a high risk of pathology of the nervous system and can lead to neurologic disorders from minimal brain dysfunction (MBD) to cerebral palsy (CP). In fetuses with somatic pathology, the average value of the total assessment of general movements occupies a boundary ...
The Relationship between Heart Rhythm Variability and the Heart Rate in Adolescents and Young Adults
... cardiac death in chronic heart failure patients // Circulation. 2003. Vol. 107 (4). P. 565—570.
7. Maheshwari A., Norby F. L., Soliman E. Z. et al. Low heart rate variability in a 2-minute electrocardiogram recording is associated with an increased risk of sudden cardiac death in the general population: the atherosclerosis risk in communities study // PLoS One. 2016. Vol. 11 (8).
8. Billman G. E. Heart rate variability — a historical perspective // Frontiers in Physiol. 2011. Vol. 2. P. 86.
9....
Geosituational Modelling of Coastal Marine Systems
... solar-terrestrial links, marine-terrestrial ecosystems, global and regional processes related to climate change, oceanization, the vulnerability of natural systems under the increasing pressure of anthropogenic activities, and continuously increasing risks presented by industrial agriculture and other types of land use.
1. Fedorov, G. M. (ed.), 2016, Atlas poslevoennyh izmenenij na territorii sovremennoj Kaliningradskoj oblasti [Atlas of post-war changes on the territory of the modern Kaliningrad ...
Socially efficient entry barriers?
.... Williamson, O. 1996, Ekonomicheskiye instituty kapitalisma [The Economic Institutions of Capitalism]. (In Russ.)
8. Shabalov, I., Shastitko, A., Golovanova, S. 2016. Raspredelenie riskov v infrastrukturnyh proektah s uchastiem krupnogo zakazchika [Risk distribution in infrastructure projects with a large buyer], Moscow, Faculty of Economics, Lomonosov Moscow State University. (In Russ.)
9. Shastitko, A. 2016. On the methodology of institutional research (for the 80-th anniversary of Ronald Coase’s ...
Opportunities and Challenges of Large Investment Projects in the New Economy: the Port of Ust-Luga
... authorities. The article also considers the challenges the project faces — unfortunate geopolitical situation, growing competition from other seaports, and lack of investment. Based on the analysis of challenges, it is concluded that there are significant risks associated predominantly with lack of investment. In these conditions, a large investment project requires the enhancement of public-private partnership, which will ensure the timely implementation of such projects
1. Strategija razvitija morskoj ...
A new role of cooperation under economic sanctions as seen by residents of the Kaliningrad region
... expectations of joining cooperatives, with the economic and social expectations of the populace determining these priorities.
The economic crisis and geopolitical transformations have highlighted the problems of the Kaliningrad economy, whose unique risks are a product of its enclave position and dependence on imported goods and supplies from ‘mainland’ Russia. Transport costs are a severe limitation upon food accessibility for the population, leading to reduced consumption levels. Additional ...
Three Russian Baltic regions in the context of confrontation between Russia and the West
... promote the ongoing growth of Russia’s Baltic regions and enhance their economic and military security.
Introduction
In our earlier publications, my colleagues and I, in assessing interstate interactions in the Baltic region, analysed existing risks and potential conflicts between Western countries in the Baltic Sea region and Russia. Despite these considerations, we hoped that common sense and the economic advantages of cooperation would foster the creation of a cohesive Baltic macro-region ...
Information and propaganda strategies in German non-state media discourse during the COVID-19 pandemic
... compliance with lockdown measures, social distancing, wearing masks, and opting for vaccination.
The context of any pandemic is marked by stress, panic and uncertainty. The results of a significant number of studies show that people’s awareness of risks is the main predictor for the implementation of the recommended behaviour aimed at protecting health [11], [19], [20]. However, awareness of risks when there are no clear action algorithms aimed at minimizing them gives rise to a feeling of fear ...
Expansionism in Poland’s strategic culture: historical retrospective and variations
... faced military defeats, the Polish state has hardly embraced ideas bearing on the ‘besieged fortress’ concept. Secondly, the very culture of limited power politics has assumed some unique characteristics in the country: greater readiness to take risks and fascination with power actions. This state of affairs is largely a result of the contours of the regional project having been drawn for the neighbouring states mostly based on the negative type of consolidation (against the Muslims and later ...
Kant in the Time of COVID
... resources such as COVID-19 vaccines, medical staff, ICU beds and ventilators. Public health officials in the U.S. have had to make decisions about two major issues: which infected patients should be treated first (triage), and which people who are at risk of infection should be inoculated first (vaccine distribution). Following Beauchamp and Childress’s principlism, adopted guidelines have tended to value both whole lives (survival to discharge) and life-years (survival for years past discharge)....
Development of the automatic system based on the three-factor communication model for the extraction and classification of the comments in social media
The paper aims at examining the main communication strategies used by those involved into risk communication on the governmental regulations on the management of the adverse aftermaths of the crises (on the case of COVID-19 pandemics). In order to extract and classify the set of comments, a three-factor model was developed to classify the ...
Resilience of cultural attitudes of local communities to risks: the «group / grid» model
The study focuses on the empirical test of the grid/group model applied to the actual perception of the environmental risks by the local community (the case of the potassium mine development in the village of Nivenskoe, the Kaliningrad region). It tests to what extent the structure of the theoretically constructed cultural types (hierarchist, egalitarian, individualist,...
An “ideal city”, its statics and dynamics
... Park R. E., Burgess E. W., McKenzie R. D., Wirth L. The City. Chicago, 1926.
15. Social ecology: society-nature relations across time and space / еd. by H. Haberl, M. Fisher-Kowalski, F. Krausmann and V. Winiwater. Springer, 2016.
16. The Global Risks Report 2018. Geneva: World Economic Forum. URL: www. weforum.org/risks (дата обращения: 10.02.2019).
17. Yanitsky O. N. The Fourth Scientific and Technological Revolution and its Social Out
Yanitsky O. N.
globalization, ‘ideal ...
Risk Analysis at Industrial Enterprises Exposed to Post-Earthquake Fires
In this article, I analyse risks borne by businesses that have experienced seismic impacts aggravated by secondary fires. I suggest taking into account this circumstance as part of a mechanism to ensure the post-earthquake fire safety of industrial facilities. It is also important ...
The role of the European Central Bank in ensuring the financial stability of the EU
... considerable and, in some ways, unprecedented support by the member states of the European Union to each other. This move was highly questioned by the public. In addition to eloquent statements about the need to break the adverse interdependence of sovereign risks and risks of the banking sector, this Declaration included two specific legal obligations. Firstly, the creation of the Single Supervisory Mechanism (SSM) and the centralized supervision of the banking sector of the Member States of the eurozone ...