A scenario approach to the strategic development of the fishing industry in the Kaliningrad region
This article examines scientific approaches to scenario planning and analyses the algorithm of business development scenarios. The authors summarise a vast array of information. An analysis of external and internal environment of the fishing industry is carried out and the problems of regional industry development are identified and systematised. Based on a strategic ...
Prospects for the development of the forest park protective belt of Moscow
... scenarios for the further development of different parts of the forest-park protective belt of Moscow.
Zabelin I.A., Golubeva E.I.
Ecology of the city, Moscow agglomeration, ecological functions, forest park protective belt, integrated assessment, development scenarios
5-23
10.5922/gikbfu-2023-3-1
Negative externalities and sustainability of energy sector
... Bulletin.
Vol.20. No 2. P. 1-7.
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Ciegis, R. (2004). Economy and environment: management of sustainable development.
Kaunas (in Lithuanian).
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Ciegis R., Ramanauskiene J.,. Martinkus B. (2009). The Concept of Sustainable Development and its Use for Sustainability Scenarios. //
Inzinerine ekonomika.
Nr. 2 (62). P. 28-37.
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Coase R. (1960). The problem of social cost // Journal of Law and Economics.
Nr. 3. P.1- 44.
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Croci E. (2005). The economics of environmental voluntary agreements.
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Spatial aspects of regional energy security: the case of the Kaliningrad region
... threats at a regional and national level. On the other hand, the tense post-2022 international situation poses new industrial development challenges for regions, prompting some to reorganise domestic and export energy supply. Energy security issues encountered ... ... the Kaliningrad region, an exclave highly dependent on external energy supplies, is examined to provide insight into possible scenarios for ensuring the territory’s energy security and the conditions for each course of events to unfold. The findings ...
Trends in cross-border cooperation between Russian and Belarusian regions
... уровне глав государств от 27.11.2009 № 17). URL:
http://www.consultant.ru/document/cons_doc_LAW_94890/
(дата обращения: 03.11.2016).
Ogneva N.
cross-border cooperation, integration, foreign trade, trade, transit, development scenarios, potential
86-91
Russian-Estonian relations: a medium-term forecast
... political phenomena, but rather about the trends of current states, which are called scenarios. The article describes the four possible scenarios of changes in the role of Estonia in Russian foreign policy that are evaluated from the perspective of the development of Russian-Estonian relations and factors affecting the probability of each scenario. It is shown that any change in the role of Estonia in Russian foreign policy depends not only on the specific actions of the Estonian elite, for example their readiness to change their position on the participation of Russian-speaking population ...
The development of the industrial port complex of the Kaliningrad region
Socio-economic development of the Kaliningrad region requires new scenarios and ways of functioning of the regional economy. Based on recent regional studies, the author proposes to resume the discussion of alternative strategies for the development of the Kaliningrad region. One of the most promising ideas is the marine ...
Ethnopolitical movement of the Sámi in the Arctic region: from development to stagnation
... ethnopolitical movement of the Sámi in the Arctic region is examined through significant events in its development, including during Russia’s special military operation in Ukraine. The author attempts to assess the current stage of the movement’s development and justify factors of its stagnation, proposing potential positive change scenarios based on the analysis of leading scholarly works in ethnopolitics and international relations, as well as open official internet resources of international organizations and periodical news publications. As a result, the author suggests considering ...
A greening strategy for Perm
... infrastructure elements: conservation areas, urban forests, public and limited access amenities and special-purpose objects. Strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats of Perm’s current landscaping system are described, alongside potential development scenarios for the city’s green spaces up to 2030. A development strategy is outlined to achieve significant progress in landscaping and biodiversity conservation. Its other goals involve enhancing the urban environment by converting spontaneously ...
The development of dairy farming: forecasts and trends
... period, and poor provision of balanced feed. The production of commercial crops is more profitable compared with the production of milk. The aim of this research is to substantiate conceptual and methodological approaches and tools for forecasting the development of dairy cattle breeding in Russia during the implementation of the policy of import substitution. The methodical basis of research is a set of methods of economic and mathematical modeling, including scenarios and their quantitative justification. Special attention is paid to the method of extrapolation modeling linear and nonlinear trends. The method of trend modeling has been supplemented by the method of expert assessment. The empirical basis ...
Key Strategies of Development of Research Tools and Methods for Marine Spatial Planning
... All-Russian Forum "Strategic planning in the regions and cities of Russia"], St. Petersburg, Leont'evskij centr, p. 115—119.
3. Belousov, A. R. 2006, Scenarii social'no-jekonomicheskogo razvitija Rossii na pjatnadcatiletnjuju perspektivu [Scenarios of socio-economic development of Russia for fifteen years perspective], Problemy prognozirovanija [Problems of forecasting], no. 1, p. 3—52.
4. Voitolovsky, G. K. 2005, Dinamika razvitija [The dynamics of the development], Moscow, SOPS.
5. Vargina, T. V., Myakinenkov,...
International political status of an observer state to the EAEU: problems and prospects of institutionalization
... and domestic political instability, while among the promoting factors are the presence of political will from a consolidated ruling elite and social demand for the integration proposal. The author concludes that there are two fundamentally possible scenarios for the institutional development of the Union: a) deepening integration; b) expanding the integration space through the advancement of contractual policies. The list of potential future observer states within the EAEU is small: China, Vietnam, Iran, Serbia, and Singapore....
Prospects for a new intervention by military in the political processes in the Republic of Turkey
... that the army will not attempt to reclaim its role as a hidden guardian. The goal of the undertaken research was to forecast the conditions under which the military might attempt a coup. Scenario analysis was used for the prediction. As a result, three scenarios for the development of the Republic of Turkey were obtained: the establishment of a rigid clerical authoritarianism, democratic transition, and the preservation of a hybrid regime. It was identified that the highest likelihood of a military coup exists under ...
Institution of criminal proceedings for economic offences
At present, provisions of the law about an institution of criminal proceedings in the economic sphere are controversial. The order of criminal prosecution of such crimes also is not defined clearly. The purpose of the research is to develop the optimal scenario for initiating these criminal cases and determining the most appropriate procedure for their investigation. This study relied on the methods of comparative studies, analysis and synthesis. Using the method of comparative studies, the norms of ...
Transformation of the settlement system in the Kaliningrad region
... conclusion is that the relatively small size of the region and high transport connectivity (along with a high level of economic development) generally smooth out negative socio-demographic processes, making the gap between agglomeration and peripheral ... ....-практ. конф. / отв. ред. А. А. Михайлова. Калининград, 2020. С. 134—140.
20. Territorial Scenarios for the Baltic Sea Region (BT2050). Main Report. Version 29/11/2019. URL:
https://www.espon.eu/BT%202050
(дата ...
Multimodal text as a means of political identification: an analysis of the Russian blogosphere
... Political discourse in the context of expanding digital space. In: Rossiya: tendentsii i perspektivy razvitiya [Russia: trends and development prospects], 14. Moscow, pp. 119—121 (in Russ.).
Plotichkina, N. V., 2013. Prosumption as a political practice ... ...
Volodenkov, S. V., 2019. Influence of Internet communication technologies on contemporary social and political processes: scenarios, challenges, and actors. Monitoring of Public Opinion: Economic and Social Changes, 5, pp. 341—364, https:// doi.org/10....
Gas infrastructure development in the countries of East Baltic as a way to increase energy security
In the context of regional gas infrastructure development this paper considers the issue of energy security of the countries of East Baltic, which depend heavily on a single ... ... current and future demand for natural gas, including the terms and conditions of contracts concluded with OAO Gazprom. Different scenarios and prospects for individual LNG terminal projects and associated pipeline infrastructure are evaluated. It is shown ...
Who and how produces the future (Alexander Fedorov’s new philosophy of common cause)
...
Kan, G., Braun, W. and Martel, L., 1978.
Sleduyushchie 200 let. Stsenarii dlya Ameriki i vsego mira
[The next 200 years. Scenario for America and the whole world]. Moscow, 228 p. (in Russ.).
Karpunin, V. A., 2004.
Volya k bytiyu: Ontologicheskii ... ....).
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Sovetskii gorod zavtra (kartiny blizhaishego razvitiya)
[Soviet city tomorrow. (Pictures of proximal development)]. Moscow; Leningrad, 96 p. (in Russ.).
Rumyantsev, A. M. and Mamardashvili, M. K., eds., 1964.
Kakoe budushchee ...
Frame approach to analysing the semantisation of the biblical quasi-anthroponym prodigal son in the language of Russian poetry
... text.
The results obtained suggest that the realisation of the quasi-anthroponym prodigal son in Russian poetry texts of different periods is associated with either inheriting or transforming conceptual basic biblical meanings. If the basic frame scenario is executed with high precision, i.e. using a complete set of ideationally significant slots, the biblical quasi-anthroponym prodigal son determines how deeper meanings associated with the poetic interpretation of that eternal plot develop in the text. The inheritance of meanings is carried out both explicitly and implicitly, whereas the poetic interpretation of the biblical plot retains an essential connection with the basic protoframe. In most contexts, the meanings of the basic ...
Evolution of «Alternative for Germany» in 2017—2021
... increased interest in the phenomenon of right-wing populism. The Alternative for Germany rapidly became the focus of attention of political scientists, sociologists, psychologists, etc. It was assumed that Alternative for Germany could have several main scenarios of development: gradually move closer to the center and become a systemic party, disappear after several electoral cycles, or continue moving to the right. By the elections to the Parliament in 2021, the party strengthened its positions in the eastern regions ...
The basic trends in the development of bilateral trade between the Kaliningrad and Grodno regions
This article examines foreign trade activities between the cooperating regions of the Union State of Russia and Belarus determined by the bilateral convergence of national economies for solving common economic problems and developing regional economies. The author identifies the degree of present cooperation, explores possible future scenarios, and emphasizes the key aspects of interaction between the regions.
1. Бильчак В. С. Приграничная экономика : монография. Калининград, 2001.
2. Прогнозирование и планирование ...
The discourse of “European identity” in the conditions of the EU crisis
... обращения: 11.03.2012).
4. Karlsson I. How to define the European identitytoday and in the future? URL:http://www.mcrit.com/scenarios/files/DOCUMENTS/european_identity_en.pdf (дата обращения: 19.03.2012).
5. Murtic M. Crisis may cement pan-European ... ... http://athensdialogues.chs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/WebObjects/
athensdialogues.woa/wa/dist?dis=94 (дата обращения: 13.03.2012).
7. The development of European identities: policy and research issues. URL:http://www.eubusiness.com/events/identities-12 (дата обращения: ...