The Baltic Region

2012 Issue №1(11)

Back to the list Download an article

Assessment of the efficiency of Russian response to the implementation of US missile defence deployment concept in Europe

DOI
10.5922/2079-8555-2012-1-4
Pages
28-43

Abstract

This article is dedicated to the problems of deployment of the US anti-missile defence system in Eastern Europe. The European system of US missile defence is just one of the components of global US missile defence. This work aims to analyze possible Russia’s responses within military and political spheres. The measures proposed are divided into three subgroups: soft, medium and hard depending on the implementation of the adopted missile defence concept by the USA. This research employs the structure-system method and the method of actualization. The authors outline both positive and negative consequences of such actions for the Russian Federation, the USA, eastern European countries and the neighbouring countries, including the Baltic Sea states. The practical significance of this study consists in the proposed and justified responses of the Russian Federation that may serve as a basis for the scenarios of development of international situation and help to forecast the level of tension in Russia-US relations.

Reference

1. Ballisticheskaja raketa «Bulava»: tehnicheskie harakteristiki. Spravka [Ballistic missile «Bulava»: technical specifications. Reference], RIA Novosti, available at:http://ria. ru/spravka/20100224/210651991.html (accessed 24 September 2011).
2. V novoj Gosudarstvennoj programme vooruzhenija prioritet otdan vysokotehnologichnym obrazcam [The new state arms program gives priority to the hightech designs], Nacional'naja oborona [National defence], available at: http://www.oborona. ru/includes/periodics/maintheme/2011/0314/21345724/detail. shtml (accessed 24 September 2011).
3. Voennaja doktrina Rossijskoj Federacii [Military Doctrine of the Russian Federation], Oficial'nyj sajt Prezidenta Rossii [Official site of President of Russia], available at: http://news. kremlin. ru/ref_notes/461 (accessed 28 June 2011).
4. Gabuev, A. 2011, Vash sektor vozle Russia [Your sector near Russia], Kommersant, 16 July, p. 1—2.
5. Zajavlenie Prezidenta v svjazi s situaciej, kotoraja slozhilas' vokrug sistemy PRO stran NATO v Evrope [Statement by the President in connection with the situation that has developed around NATO missile defence system in Europe], Oficial'nyj
sajt Prezidenta Rossii [Official site of President of Russia], available at:http://kremlin. ru/news/13637 (accessed 23 September 2011).
6. Kaliningradskaja RLS zastupila na boevoe dezhurstvo [Kaliningrad radar was put into combat duty], Lenta. ru, available at: http://www. lenta. ru/news/2011/11/29/station/ (accessed 30 September 2011).
7. Kosov, Ju. V. 2009, Osobennosti geopoliticheskih processov v Central'noj Evrope [Features geopolitical processes in Central Europe],Upravlencheskoe konsul'tirovanie [Management consulting], no. 3, p. 91—97.
8. Kucherjavyj, M. M. 2008, Geopoliticheskie protivorechija mezhdu Rossiej i Zapadom v vozdushno-kosmicheskoj sfere [Geopolitical conflict between Russia and the West in the aerospace field], Upravlencheskoe konsul'tirovanie [Management
consulting], no. 4, p. 43—49.
9. Lidery ShOS: narawivanie PRO uzkoj gruppoj stran podryvaet stabil'nost' [Leaders of SCO defence build-up a small group of countries undermines the stability of], RIA Novosti, available at: http://ria. ru/defense_safety/20110615/388620871.html
(accessed 20 July 2011).
10. Lukianov, F. 2005, SShA vozvodjat raketnyj zabor vokrug Rossii i radi jetogo gotovy zakopat' svoe oruzhie v Pol'she [U. S. missile erecting a fence around Russia, and for this ready to bury their weapons in Poland], Rossijskaja gazeta [The Russian newspaper], 19 January, p. 8.11. NATO poobewalo zapustit' sistemu EvroPRO v 2018 godu [NATO has promised to run a European missile defence system in 2018], KM. RU, available at:http://www. km. ru/v-mire/2011/10/05/voenno-politicheskii-blok-nato/nato-poobeshchalo-zapustit-sistemu-evropro-v-2018-g (accessed 6 September 2011).
12. Oleg Ostapenko: potencial VKO budet postojanno narawivat'sja [Oleg Ostapenko: potential ASD will continue to grow], Vesti. Ru, available at:http://www. vesti. ru/doc. html?id=649217&cid=7 (accessed 2 September 2011).
13. Poslanie Federal'nomu Sobraniju Rossijskoj Federacii 5 nojabrja 2008 goda [Address to the Federal Assembly of Russian Federation, November 5, 2008], Oficial'nyj sajt Prezidenta Rossii [Official site of President of Russia], available at:
http://archive. kremlin. ru/ppears/2008/11/05/1349_type63372type63374type63381
type 82634_208749.shtml (accessed 22 September 2011).
14. Prem'er Litvy: My dolzhny ubedit' Rossiju ne vesti sebja voinstvenno [Lithuanian Prime Minister: We have to persuade Russia not to behave aggressively], NewsBalt, available at: http://newsbalt. ru/detail/?ID=2433 (accessed 9 September 2011).
15. Romanec, I. 2007, Tretij pozicionnyj rajon PRO SShA: prednaznachenie —mnimoe i real'noe [A third missile defence U. S. mission — real and imaginary], Zarubezhnoe voennoe obozrenie [Foreign Military Review], no.7, p. 1—5.
16. Rossija i Ukraina vedut peregovory po sovmestnoj sisteme PRO [Russia and Ukraine are negotiating a joint missile defence system], RIA Novosti, available at: http://ria. ru/world/20111004/449045269.html (accessed 4 September 2011).

17. Sammit ShOS ukazyvaet na usilenie mezhdunarodnoj naprjazhennosti [The SCO summit points to increased international tensions], inoSMI. Ru, available at: http://www. inosmi. ru/world/20110622/171055975.html (accessed 20 July 2011).
18. Ukraina zainteresovalas' Evropejskoj sistemoj PRO [Ukraine is interested in European missile defence system], KM. RU, available at: http://www. km.ru/ukraina/ 2011/10/06/voenno-politicheskii-blok-nato/ukraina-zainteresovalas-evropeiskoi-sistemoi-pro (accessed 9 September 2011).
19. Insidepolitics. Transcript: President Bush speech on missile, CNN. com, available at: http://edition. cnn. com/2001/ALLPOLITICS/05/01/bush. missile. trans (accessed 18 September 2011).