Kaliningrad region in the context of current geopolitical challenges: dynamics and trends
Abstract
The Kaliningrad region, as a Russian exclave located at the center of the Baltic region, has found itself at the epicenter of geopolitical confrontation between the Russian Federation and the collective West. With the launch of the Special Military Operation in Ukraine, confrontation with NATO, the European Union, and regional states has reached its peak. The geographical position of the Kaliningrad region has generated threats of transport and economic blockade, while simultaneously enhancing its military and strategic significance as a Russian outpost. The article analyzes the key challenges facing the Kaliningrad region, including its exclave status, sanctions pressure, restrictions on cargo transit through Lithuania, the militarization of the region, and threats of a maritime blockade. It examines the evolution of policies pursued by the Baltic states aimed at isolating the region, as well as Russia’s response measures, including military and political actions. Particular attention is paid to the region’s economic adaptation, including the development of maritime transport, energy security, and the search for new logistics routes under the impact of sanctions. The growing importance of the Baltic Sea as a key transport corridor is emphasized. The study demonstrates that, amid escalating confrontation with the West, the Kaliningrad region is compelled to combine the strengthening of its defense potential with the search for sustainable economic development models that make it possible to minimize risks and maintain control over key transport routes.