Demographic Ranking of the Baltic Sea States
- DOI
- 10.5922/2079-8555-2014-2-2
- Pages
- 22-34
Abstract
The relevance of the study lies in the acute need to modernise the tools for a more accurate and comparable reflection of the demographic reality of spatial objects of different scales. This article aims to test the methods of “demographic rankings” developed by Yermakov and Shmakov. The method is based on the principles of indirect standardisation of the major demographic coefficients relative to the age structure.The article describes the first attempt to apply the method to the analysis of birth and mortality rates in 1995 and 2010 for 140 countries against the global average, and for the Baltic Sea states against the European average. The grouping of countries and the analysis of changes over the given period confirmed a number of demographic development trends and the persistence of wide territorial disparities in major indicators. The authors identify opposite trends in ranking based on the standardised birth (country consolidation at the level of averaged values) and mortality (polarisation) rates. The features of demographic process development in the Baltic regions states are described against the global and European background. The study confirmed the validity of the demographic ranking method, which can be instrumental in solving not only scientific but also practical tasks, including those in the field of demographic and social policy.
Reference
1. Medkov, V. M. 2004, Demografija [Demography], Moscow.
2. Ermakov, S. P., Kulikova, T. V., Shmakov, N. A. 2010, Demograficheskie rejtingi i rejtingi zdorov'ja naselenija (metodologicheskie aspekty) [Demographic ratings and ratings health (methodological aspects)]. In: Shmakov, N. A. (ed.) Zdorov'e i social'no-demograficheskie processy v Rossii [Health and socio-demographic processes in Russia], Мoscow, p. 157—172.
3. Ermakov, S. P., Shmakov, N. A. 2011, Vzaimosvjaz' mezhdu demograficheskimi rejtingami polozhenija i tradicionnymi demograficheskimi pokazateljami [The relationship between demographic situation ratings and traditional demographic indicators], Vestnik MGOU. Serija Jekonomika [MGOU Herald. Economy series], no. 3, p. 91—96.
4. Ermakov, S. P., Shmakov, N. A. 2011, Integral'nye demograficheskie rejtingi polozhenija [Integrated ratings demographic situation], Obrazovanie. Nauka. Nauchnye kadry [Education. Science. Brainpower], no. 4, p. 25—28.
5. Kuznetsova, Т. Yu. 2012, Demografija s osnovami jetnografii [Demographics of the basics of Ethnography], Kaliningrad.
6. Sluka, A. Ye., Sluka, N. А. 2000, Geografija naselenija s osnovami demografii [Population geography with the basics of demography], Moscow.
7. Smirnova, T. L. 2010, Vosproizvodstvo naselenija i rynok rabochej sily v Rossii [Reproduction of the population and the labor market in Russia], Problemy sovremennoj jekonomiki [Problems of Modern Economics], no 1, p. 85—88.
8. Shmakov, N. A. 2011, Demograficheskie rejtingi polozhenija. Rejtingi regionov RF po urovnju rozhdaemosti [Demographic ratings position. Ratings Russian regions by the level of fertility], Jekonomicheskie nauki [Economics], no. 6, p. 47—50.
9. Shmakov, N. A. 2011, Demograficheskie rejtingi polozhenija. Rejtingi regionov RF po urovnju smertnosti naselenija [Demographic ratings position. Ratings Russian regions by the level of mortality], Jekonomika, nalogi, pravo [Economy, taxes, the law], no. 4, p. 18—22.
10. World population prospects, the 1995 revision, available at: http://esa.un.org/wpp/1995 (accessed: 01.02.2014).
11. World population prospects, the 2010 revision, available at: http://esa.un.org/wpp/ 2010 (accessed: 01.02.2014).
12. Statistical resources of the World Bank, available at: http://data.worldbank.org/ (accessed: 01.02.2014).