The Baltic Region

2014 Issue №1(19)

Back to the list Download the article

Commodity flow model for an exclave region: Rent-seeking in the ‘transitional period’ of the special economic zone

DOI
10.5922/2079-8555-2014-1-5
Pages
54-68

Abstract

This article focuses on a commodity flow model for an exclave region (CFMER). The CFMER development is aimed at identifying aggregate proportions of the exclave’s economy in the transitional period of the special economic zone (SEZ) functioning. The key method of analysis is the comparison of data on the generation of gross regional product and regional foreign economic activities (including export and import of goods and moving goods from/into the Kaliningrad region to other Russian regions). It results in a conceptual CFMER, which is assessed as of 2011. The availability of additional — as compared to a regular region — data on commodity flows in the framework of the SEZ transitional period makes it possible to identify structural disproportions in the economy. It is shown that the introduction of the SEZ transitional period did not result in a change in the conceptual model of the regional economy’s functioning merely increasing the opportunities for rent extraction. The authors predict structural imbalances in the exclave economy at the microlevel, in particular, the article analyses the conceptual model of rent extraction in the SEZ transitional period. The CFMER can be used for forecasting the development of exclave’s economy under different scenarios of the evolution of SEZ in the Kaliningrad region.

Reference

1. Batten, D. F. 1982, The Interregional Linkages Between National and Regional Input-Output Models, International Regional Science Review, no. 7, p. 53—67.
2. Fedorov, G., Korneevets, V., Zverev, Yu. 2011, Kaliningrad oblast of Russia in the transborder region South-Eastern Baltic, Regiony Nadmorskie, no. 19.
3. Gareev, T. 2013, The Special economic zone in the Kaliningrad region: development tool or institutional trap? Baltic Journal of Economics, no. 2.
4. Harrigan, F., McGilvray, J. W., McNicoll, I. H. 1981, The Estimation of Interregional Trade Flows, Journal of Regional Science, no. 21(1), p. 65—78.
5. Hewings, G. 1983, Design of Appropriate Accounting Systems for Regional Development In Developing Countries, Papers of the Regional Science Association, no. 51(1), p. 179—195.
6. Jackson, R. W, Schwarm, W. R., Okuyama, Y., Islam, S. 2006, A Method for Constructing Commodity by Industry Flow Matrices, Annals of Regional Science, no. 40 (4), p. 909—920.
7. Lamande, V., Samson, I., Vinokurov, E. 2004, Measuring regional economic development in Russia: the case of the Kaliningrad oblast, European Urban and Regional Studies, no. 11(1), p. 71—80.
8. Lindall, S., Olson, D., Alward, G. 2006, Deriving Multi-Regional Models: Using the IMPLAN National Trade Flows Model, The Journal of Regional Analysis and Policy, no. 36(1), p. 76—83.
9. Liu, L. N., Vilain, P. 2004, Estimating Commodity Inflows to a Substate Region Using Input-Output Dat a: Commodity Flow Survey Accuracy Tests, Journal of Transportation and Statistics, no. 7(1), p. 23—37.
10. Vacar, A. 2006, Regional economic modelling: evaluating existing methods and models for constructing an Irish prototype, Munich Personal RePEc Archive, available at: http://mpra. ub. uni-muenchen. de/7650 (accessed 24.11.2013).
11. REMI STAFF, 2007, Policy Insight. Model Documentation — Version 9.5. Regional Economic Models Inc.
12. Treyz, F., Treyz, G. 2004, The Evaluation of Programs Aimed at Local and Regional Development: Methodology and Twenty Years: Experience Using REMI Policy Insight. In: Evaluating Local Economic and Employment Development: How
to Assess What Works Among Programmes and Policies. OECD, Paris, p. 151—190.
13. Wilson, A. G. 1970, Inter-regional Commodity Flows: Entropy Maximizing Approaches, Geographical Analysis, no. 2(3), p. 225—282.
14. Animitsa, E. G. (ed.), 2008, Region v social'no-jekonomicheskom prostranstve Rossii: analiz, dinamika, mehanizm upravlenija [Region in the socio-economic
space of Russia: analysis, dynamics, control mechanism], Perm.
15. Gareev, T. R. 2009, ekonomicheskoe zonirovanie: klassicheskie i institucional'nye aspekty razvitija (na primere OJeZ v Kaliningradskoj oblasti) [Economic zoning: classical and institutional aspects of development (for example, Kaliningrad
SEZ)], Jekonomicheskij vestnik Rostovskogo gosudarstvennogo universiteta (Terra Economicus) [Terra Economicus], Vol. 7, no. 3, p. 70—90.
16. Gareev, T. R., Zhdanov, V. P., Fedorov, G. M. 2005, Novaja jekonomika Kaliningradskoj oblasti [The new economy of the Kaliningrad region], Voprosy jekonomiki [Problems of Economics], no. 2, p. 23—39.
17. Gareev, T. R., Fedorov, G. M. 2005, Pljusy i minusy rezhima Osoboj jekonomicheskoj zony [Pros and cons of the Special Economic Zone], Kosmopolis, no. 13(3), p. 82—89.
18. Granberg, A. G. 2004, Osnovy regional'noj jekonomiki [Fundamentals of the regional economy], 4th ed., Moscow.
19. Zubarevich, N. V. 2010, Regiony Rossii: neravenstvo, krizis, modernizacija [Regions of Russia: inequality crisis, modernization], Moscow.
20. Kolomak, E. 2013, Neravnomernoe prostranstvennoe razvitie v Rossii: ob'jasnenija novoj jekonomicheskoj geografii [Uneven spatial development in Russia: an explanation of the new economic geography], Voprosy jekonomiki [Problems of
Economics], no. 2, p. 132—150.
21. Kuznetsova, О. 2001, Federal'naja jekonomicheskaja politika v otnoshenii jeksklavnogo regiona [Federal economic policies toward the exclave region], Voprosy jekonomiki [Problems of Economics], no. 11, p. 96—105.
22. Kuznetsova, О. Kuznetsov, A. 2006, Granica: bar'er ili stimul dlja razvitija [Border: a barrier or an incentive for the development of], Rossijskoe jekspertnoe obozrenie [Russian Expert Review], no. 4, p. 4—45.
23. Kuznetsova, О. 2011, Osobye jekonomicheskie zony kak faktor jekonomicheskogo razvitija rossijskih regionov [Special economic zones as a factor of economic development of Russian regions]. In: Geograficheskoe prostranstvo Rossii:
obraz i modernizacija [Russian geographical space: the image and modernization], Saint Petersburg, p. 261—280.
24. Fedorov, G. M., Zverev, Yu. M. 1995, Kaliningradskie al'ternativy [Kaliningrad alternatives], Kaliningrad.
25. Metodologicheskie polozhenija po statistike [Methodological Guidelines on Statistics], 1996—2006, no. 1—5, Federal State Statistics Service of Russian Federation, available at: http://www.gks.ru/bgd/free/B99_10/Main.htm (accessed 24.11.2013).
26. Metodologicheskie issledovanija. Rukovodstvo po nacional'nym schetam [Methodological research. Handbook of National Accounting], 2006. In: Nacional'nye scheta: prakticheskij vvodnyj kurs [National Accounts: A Practical Introduction],Ser. F, no. 85, New York, available at: http://unstats.un.org/unsd/publication/SeriesF/seriesF_85r.pdf (accessed 24.11.2013).
27. Reshenie Komissii Tamozhennogo sojuza ot 28 janvarja 2011 g. № 525 «O Edinoj metodologii vedenija tamozhennoj statistiki vneshnej torgovli i statistiki vzaimnoj torgovli gosudarstv — chlenov Tamozhennogo sojuza» [Decision of the
Commission of the Customs Union on January 28, 2011 № 525 «On the Unified methodology of customs statistics of foreign trade and bilateral trade statistics states— members of the Customs Union»], available at: http://www.customsunion.ru/
info/3477.html (accessed 24.11.2013).
28. Reshenie Komissii Tamozhennogo sojuza ot 20.09.2010 № 378 (red. ot 01.10.2013) «O klassifikatorah, ispol'zuemyh dlja zapolnenija tamozhennyh deklaracij» [Decision of the Commission of the Customs Union of 20.09.2010 № 378
(as amended on 01.10.2013) «On the classifiers used to fill customs declarations»], available at: http://base.consultant.ru/cons/cgi/online.cgi?req=doc;base=LAW;n=152720 (accessed 24.11.2013).
29. Vvoz i vyvoz potrebitel'skih tovarov i produkcii  proizvodstvenno-tehnicheskogo naznachenija po Kaliningradskoj oblasti za 2011 god [Import and export of consumer goods and products for technical purposes in Kaliningrad region in
2011], 2012, Statistical Bulletin, Kaliningrad.
30. Proizvodstvo i ispol'zovanie valovogo regional'nogo produkta Kaliningradskoj oblasti v 2006—2011 godah [Production and use of the gross regional product of the Kaliningrad region in 2006—2011], 2012, Statistical Bulletin, Kaliningrad.
31. Vyvoz produkcii proizvodstvenno-tehnicheskogo naznachenija i potrebitel'skih tovarov iz Kaliningradskoj oblasti za 2012 god [Exportation of products for industrial and consumer goods appointment of Kaliningrad Oblast for 2012],
2013, Statistical Bulletin, Kaliningrad.
32. Osnovnye proizvodnye pokazateli dinamiki obmennogo kursa rublja v janvare — dekabre 2011 goda [Basic derived indicators of ruble exchange rate in January— December 2011], 2012, Central Bank of Russia, available at: http://www.cbr.ru/
statistics/print.aspx?file=credit_statistics/ex_rate_ind_11.htm&pid=svs&sid=analit (accessed 24.11.2013).